Our tendency to overestimate the level of control we have over our impulsive behaviors. These urges typically come from “visceral impulses” such as hunger, drug cravings, fatigue, or sexual arousal..
#prediction
- Nordgren, L. F., Harreveld, F. van, & Pligt, J. van der. (2009). The Restraint Bias: How the Illusion of Self-Restraint Promotes Impulsive Behavior. Psychological Science, 20(12), 1523–1528. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9280.2009.02468.x
- CDC Tobacco Free. (2020, May 21). Fast Facts. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fast_facts/index.htm
- Ruff, L. K., Volmer, T., Nowak, D., & Meyer, A. (2000). The economic impact of smoking in Germany. European Respiratory Journal, 16(3), 385–390. https://doi.org/10.1034/j.1399-3003.2000.016003385.x
- Loewenstein, G. (2005). Hot-cold empathy gaps and medical decision making. Health Psychology: Official Journal of the Division of Health Psychology, American Psychological Association, 24(4S), S49-56. https://doi.org/10.1037/0278-6133.24.4.S49
- McGonigal, K. (2011). The Willpower Instinct: How Self-Control Works, Why It Matters, and What You Can Do to Get More of It. Penguin.