Estimate-Talk-Estimate

Useful for:

• False Consensus Effect
• Pluralistic Ignorance

Approach

Participants first produce separate (and silent) estimates, then explain and justify them, and finally make new estimates in response to the estimates and explanations of others, taking the average of the individual estimates in the second round.

Referenced in:

• Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment by Kahneman, Sibony, and Sunstein