Premortem

Useful for:

• Illusion of Validity
• Optimism Bias

Approach

When an organization has almost made an important decision but not yet committed to it, gather for a brief session of a group of individuals who are knowledgable about that decision. Imagine the outcome is a disaster, and write a brief history of that disaster.

Referenced in:

• Thinking, Fast and Slow by Kahneman